Such is the extent of political repression in Egypt that when tens of thousands of people took to the
streets to decry the 29-year rule of President Hosni Mubarak, nobody was more surprised than the
protesters themselves. "I didn't expect this many people," said businessman Ahmed Osama as he took in
the crowds bearing antigovernment posters and chanting anti-Mubarak slogans in Cairo's central Midan
Tahrir, or Liberation Square. Even Zeinab Khalifa, an artist who has spent much of her adult life
campaigning for political reform, was astonished by the turnout. "This is the biggest protest I've seen in
this era," she said.
The protesters flooded Cairo's streets on Jan. 25, dubbed the Day of Wrath by opposition groups. They
shut down major thoroughfares and clashed with phalanxes of riot police. Demonstrations also broke out
in other cities across the country, most violently in Suez, where three protesters died in confrontations
with security forces. The Mubarak government tried to head off more unrest the following day by
deploying riot police, troop carriers and police trucks equipped with water cannons at obvious locations
for protests. But demonstrations broke out anyway, with fierce clashes erupting between young, mostly
male protesters and police.
Over the past five years, the Mubarak regime has pursued an economic-growth plan of rapid
liberalization, promising to deliver jobs and modernity in the process. Increasingly, however, Egyptians
complain that unemployment is higher than ever, that the cost of living has risen while wages have stayed the same and that government corruption and repression have come to permeate all aspects of
society.
The demonstrations alarmed the Obama Administration, which regards Mubarak as an important ally in
Middle East peace negotiations and the fight against Islamic extremism, but they transfixed Arab
audiences who, for the second time in a month, watched on TV and YouTube as a popular uprising took
on an authoritarian regime. The success of Tunisia's Jasmine Revolution, which ended the 23-year rule
of Zine el Abidine Ben Ali on Jan. 15, inspired smaller uprisings from Algeria to Yemen, but the drama
unfolding in the streets of the most populous Arab nation was of a higher magnitude. "This means that
the region's so-called stability was an illusion," says Shadi Hamid, director of research at the Brookings
Doha Center. "These regimes are not, in fact, stable and are going to fall — if not now, then later."
Other Arab autocrats, already shaken by Ben Ali's ouster, have sought to placate their angry populations
by cutting the prices of food and fuel and promising jobs and handouts. Now they will take their cue from
Mubarak. If he is able to extinguish the protests by brute force, expect others to follow suit. But if the
protesters force their ruler into making major political concessions, it will be hard for other Arab states to
deny the same to their people. And if Mubarak goes the way of Ben Ali, expect panic in presidential
palaces from Algiers to Sana'a.
At the end of two days of protests, there was no indication that Mubarak was packing his bags. Nor were
the protesters in any mood to back down. "I think the Egyptian people are alive, and they are inspired by
the Tunisian revolution," said Osama, the Cairo businessman. "I think this is just the beginning."
Spontaneous Combustion
Like the Jasmine revolution, the protests in Egypt began abruptly, with many participants spurred by
online postings on social-networking sites like Facebook and Twitter. (The government was able to block
Twitter feeds for much of the afternoon and evening of Jan. 25, and it blocked Facebook access the next
day. But it was too late: the wrath was already in the streets.) And just as in Tunisia, most of the
protesters were apolitical. "I'm not part of any group or party," said Khalifa, the artist. "We've all just had
enough."
The government tried to pin the blame on an old bogeyman: the Muslim Brotherhood. But it's an
allegation that participating groups call bogus. Shadi Taha, a member of the liberal Tomorrow Party, says
most protesters were first timers. "We used to call them the silent majority — the majority that is not
involved in politics, who have never been involved in politics and who definitely are not involved in the
Muslim Brotherhood."
That's not to say Egypt's long-suffering opposition groups stayed entirely on the sidelines: prominent
opposition figures could be seen marching with the crowds. But it was the newbies who made the
greatest impact, and you could tell from the concerns they voiced. They were not demanding political
freedoms — although they gamely joined the chants for those too — but protesting the parlous state of
the economy. Ahmed Khairi, a public-health worker demonstrating in Tahrir Square, listed his laments:
"Gas in Egypt has gotten so expensive. People can't afford health insurance. There are people here
because they can't find jobs or get married." Economic frustration has been a common thread in the street protests that have rippled through the Arab
world since Tunisia. The other common complaint: corruption. "We came here for a reason, to tell
Mubarak that we don't want his corrupt regime," said Ahmed Mosaad, a translator, as he marched
through the working-class Cairo neighborhood of Shubra.
The government tried to distance the protests from those elsewhere in the Arab world. When several
Egyptians followed the example of the Tunisian street vendor Mohammed Bouazizi, whose
self-immolation sparked the Jasmine Revolution, the copycats were dismissed by Egyptian Prime
Minister Ahmed Nazif as people with "personal problems." On Jan. 26, after the first day of protests, the
Foreign Ministry issued a statement claiming that the "open environment of freedom of expression" and a
police commitment to protecting demonstrators were a "notable contrast to recent situations in the
region."
It's true that the initial police reaction to the demonstrations was markedly different from prior practice.
Typically, cops respond to protests by encircling demonstrators with shields and batons, restricting their
movement and numbers. But early on Jan. 25, police allowed the crowds to course through the capital,
moving from neighborhood to neighborhood and even pushing through police cordons when they formed.
"People are expressing their feelings," said a police captain in Shubra with a shrug when asked about the
new restrained stance. "People want freedom." But as the crowd turned and pushed toward another line
of shields, he added a warning note: "We can contain them at any time."
By sunset, the police were losing patience as the thousands who had convened at different Cairo
landmarks throughout the day made their way toward Liberation Square in the heart of downtown. Police
pounded on their shields in a show of aggression and then moved in with truncheons. As tear-gas shells
exploded in their midst, protesters rushed the police, then retreated. (Two policemen have been killed so
far in the violence.)
The protesters' ranks were bolstered by hundreds more who flowed into the square from nearby bridges
and side streets as the light grew dim. "Tomorrow, Egypt will follow Tunisia's path," the crowd chanted.
"Get out, Mubarak! Saudi Arabia is waiting for you," others yelled, referring to Ben Ali's country of refuge.
At one point, demonstrators threw tear-gas canisters back at police, forcing some of them to retreat a few
blocks. The turnaround brought more youth into the fray. Mustafa Mohamed Nufal, a 13-year-old with
gas-induced tears streaming down his face, was defiant. "Not everyone is afraid," he said. He meant the
protesters. There were plenty of frightened people in the presidential palaces of the Arab world. |
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